Participatory scenario planning for community resilience

Author(s): Addison, Anna; Ibrahim, Maggie
Number of pages: 20 p.
This paper provides planning tools for promoting resilience in development programming and shares case studies from Honduras. It focuses on the use of participatory scenario planning as a process that enables communities to explore potential future changes, their associated impacts and develop a locally relevant action plan. The process allows them to effectively manage both the opportunities and risks of change thereby increasing their resilience. Incorporating scenario planning into action planning within programmes would mean that development planning would be based on likely (rather than ideal) scenarios and vulnerabilities.

This document is part of a series of five addressing the changing risks and weak governance systems people are facing, and presents World Vision UK's way of doing development programming in order to promote resilience. On the occasion of the disaster risk reduction day, they intend to bring attention to this transformation agenda – resilience programming for empowerment and equity of the people we serve – including children, men, women and people with disabilities. These five key publications were developed based on World Vision UK's experience working with people in high risk locations to share with colleagues, academics and donors in order to move the resilience in practice debate forward.